In all the talk about shooting and spacing and rule changes one aspect of the NBA's offensive boom has gone wildly under-discussed: The league is currently on pace to post its lowest collective turnover rate of the past 40 years. At @FiveThirtyEight: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-nbas-other-offensive-revolution-never-turning-the-ball-over/ …
A lot of responses to this about the Sixers and their high turnover rate and I just want to note that their 13.5% rate would have ranked 2nd in the league in the first year of the 3PT era and was above-average as recently as 2014. Even their "high" rate is very, very low.
Doesn't that sorta follow with the shooting boom? More outside shots and less muckin' around in the paint means fewer threatened dribbles, no?
To add to that - I wonder what the impact of more three point shots has on offensive rebounding. You'd think closer shots at the rim would allow an offense more opportunities for second chances i.e. putbacks
That doesn't necessarily relate to turnovers, but there could be a relationship between longer rebounds and fewer congestion/hands around rebounders
How is free throw % below 20?
I think the chart is referring to free throw attempt rate, not made percentage. Meaning the trips to the line are going down.
@philthyanimal another area Nate was ahead of his time. He preached against TO's like no other.
Does that correlate with anything else? Assist numbers, pace, etc?
Along the same time period, what has been the trend with the # of passes teams make (and therefore # of passing decisions/skill executions)? Seems that if teams are shooting earlier in the ⏰(playing a faster pace) there is less chance of turnovers from less passing overall.
Good point @coachliamflynn With that in mind, when does quick/poor shot (selection) almost equate to a turnover? Shot attempt that results in trans score/opportunity (other confounders)? How do teams decide to play?
Curious whether officiating is significantly associated as well. Less frequent travel violations? Fewer offensive charge calls? Not a turnover if it's not called.
Lowest turnover rate? Direct result of soft or zero defense!! #obvious